The Impact of Inflation – Installment 2

The Impact of Inflation - Insallment 2

Inflation 101 – What to know, what to do

Inflation is perhaps the single-biggest influence on your economic situation. It is not properly understood by many, nor do many people make good decisions in light of it.

Peoples Bank is making the effort to address what may be an important gap in the financial efforts of its customers and others with 4 blog posts. We hope this information is more than instructive, we hope that it is meaningful, helpful. Feel free to write us with your comments, and don’t hesitate to share the link with others.

The first installment define the term and describe it in real-world terms. This one describe what you can do about it (personally) and what tools are available to deal with it. Subsequent blog posts will review how inflation effects bonds and how your retirement can be improved by dealing with it.


How Can You Fight the Effects of Inflation?

Inflation is one of the reasons people – especially those in their 20s and 30s – are often surprised by the amount they will need to save for their retirement. Inflation pushes future costs higher: as a result, the nest egg needed to produce the income you want would need to be bigger.

There are several ways to help combat the ravages of inflation on the value of your savings.

Invest to try to outpace inflation

You should own at least some investments whose potential return exceeds the inflation rate. A portfolio that earns 2% when inflation is 3% actually loses purchasing power each year. Though past performance is no guarantee of future results, stocks historically have provided higher long-term total returns than cash equivalents or bonds. However, that potential for greater returns comes with greater risk of volatility and potential for loss. You can lose part or all of the money you invest in a stock. Because of that volatility, stock investments may not be appropriate for money you count on to be available in the short term. You’ll need to think about whether you have the financial and emotional ability to ride out those ups and downs as you try for greater returns.

Bonds can also help, but since 1926, their inflation-adjusted return has been less than that of stocks. Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), backed by the U.S. government, guarantee that your return will keep pace with inflation. The principal is automatically adjusted every six months to reflect increases or decreases in the CPI; as long as you hold a TIPS to maturity, the dollar amount of its principal will never be less than the initial amount.

Chart - The Impact of 3% Yearly Inflation on the Purchasing Power of $200,000

The Impact of 3% Yearly Inflation on the Purchasing Power of $200,000

Diversify your portfolio

Though diversification does not guarantee a profit or ensure against a loss, studies have shown that over the long term, a diversified portfolio typically has outperformed one with only a single asset class. Examples of diversification possibilities include:

  • U.S. stocks (growth/value, income-producing, large/midcap/small)
  • U.S. bonds (various maturities, taxable/tax-free)
  • Real estate (U.S. stocks/REITS, international stocks/REITS, land holdings, commercial real estate)
  • Commodities (stocks and commodity futures)precious metals (stocks and bullion)
  • International stocks (developed/emerging markets)
  • International bonds (varying maturities)
  • Alternative investments (private equity, hedge funds, natural resources, and collectibles)
  • Cash/cash alternatives (money marketfunds, CDs, money-market accounts)

Save more

If you’re saving the same amount each year, you’re not really saving the same amount; you’re saving that dollar figure minus what you’ve lost in purchasing power to inflation. Consider increasing the amount you save each year by at least the rate of inflation if you want to keep a constant savings rate.

Example: For every $1,000 you saved last year, consider saving $1,030 this year ($1,000x the 3% average historical rate of inflation). To continue at that inflation-adjusted rate, you would save $1,061 the following year.

Consider paying off credit card debt

When inflation goes up, interest rates typically do, too. You may suddenly find that purchases not only cost more when you check out; they also cost more over time if you finance them and must pay interest on that amount. Factor interest costs into any credit card purchase, especially if rates are rising.

However, inflation isn’t bad for all debt. If you have a fixed-rate mortgage on your house, the mortgage payments may have seemed huge when you first took out the loan. However, as your income and other expenses increase over time, those payments will probably represent a lower percentage of your costs. Also, because inflation tends to reduce the value of each dollar, payments made 10 years from now would be made in dollars with less buying power.

Installment 1: What Is Inflation and Why Should You Care About It?
Installment 3: Inflation and Bonds: The Ups and Downs.

Contact our Peoples Investment Services, Inc. representative at 828-464-5620 or  www.raymondjames.com/PeoplesInvSvcs. 

This information, developed by an independent third party, has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James Financial Services, Inc. does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. This information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. This information is not intended as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security referred to herein. Investments mentioned may not be suitable for all investors. The material is general in nature. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. Raymond James Financial Services, Inc. does not provide advice on tax, legal or mortgage issues. These matters should be discussed with the appropriate professional.

Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC, an independent broker/dealer, and are not insured by FDIC, NCUA or any other government agency, are not deposits or obligations of the financial institution, are not guaranteed by the financial institution, and are subject to risks, including the possible loss of principal.

Prepared by Broadridge Investor Communication Solutions, Inc. Copyright 2013

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